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April oobarometer records 2.8% drop in annual house prices |

April oobarometer records 2.8% drop in annual house prices
The April oobarometer price index recorded a 2.8% drop in year-on-year houses prices, a slower rate of decline than March’s 4.2% fall.
“The April oobarometer shows that property prices continue to fall albeit marginally,” stated Saul Geffen, chief executive of ooba.
The average purchase price according to the oobarometer was R789 712 in April 2008 compared to R767,769 in April 2009.
The month-on-month has also dropped by 1% from R775,559 in March 2009.
A 11.8% reduction in the year-on-year average bond size has been recorded from an average house price of R689,935 in April 2008 to R607,573 in April 2009. However, there has been a slight recovery in the month-on-month average bond size of 1.8%.
The year-on-year average deposit as percentage of purchase price shows a significant increase. The average deposit as percentage of purchase price is up 65.8%; from an average of 12.6% required in April 2008 to 20.9% required last year. However, there was 9.1% drop in the month-on-month data.
The drop in month-on-month average deposit as percentage of purchase price is a function of the lower month-on-month purchase price and higher approved bond size.
Both the average bank decline ratio and the ratio of applications declined by one lender but approved by another continue to show significant annual decreases. The average decline ratio is at 57.4% compared to 44.9% in April 2008 and only 17.1% of applications declined by one lender are approved by another, compared to 39.3% in April 2008.
“The bank decline ratio continues to hamper the property market as banks’ strict lending policies vastly reduces the opportunity for homebuyers to qualify for home loans,” says Geffen.
“However we believe that banks will soon begin to relax their restrictive lending policies and that coupled with improving affordability thanks to lower interest rates, the property market will start to recover later this year and into 2010,” noted Geffen.
The latest 1% cut in interest rates will save home owners an additional R710 a month on a R1m home loan over a 20 year period.
Full oobarometer analysis:
Indicator |
April
2009 |
April
2008 |
Change yr on yr (Apr 09 vs Apr 08) |
March
2009 |
Change month on month (Apr 09 to Mar 09) |
Avg purchase price |
767,769 |
789,712 |
-2.8% |
775,559 |
-1.0% |
Avg purchase price
of first time buyer |
530,510 |
547,381 |
-3.0% |
545,185 |
-2.7% |
Avg approved bond size |
607,574 |
689,935 |
-11.9% |
596,903 |
1.8% |
Avg deposit (as % of purchase price)
|
20.9%
(R160,195) |
12.6%
R99,777) |
65.8% |
23.0%
(R178,656) |
-9.1% |
Avg age of applicant |
37 |
37 |
No Change |
37 |
No Change |
Avg decline ratio |
57.4% |
44.9% |
12.5% Increase |
57.9% |
0.5% Decrease |
Ratio of applications declined by one lender but approved by another |
17.1% |
39.3% |
22.2% Decrease |
20.6% |
3.5% Decrease |

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Tsitsikamma Project Update as at 05 May 2009 |
NEDBANKS NEW LENDING CRITERIA |
Dear Colleagues,
As a result of the current economic climate and the outlook for the property market, it has become necessary for Nedbank Home Loans to make the following changes effective from Monday 9 June 2008.
Product changes:
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108% bond
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108% bond is discontinued
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Alphabond now becomes the ideal first-time home buyer’s product
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Alphabond is now capped at R750,000 (excluding costs)
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Cost Capitalised Option now maximised at 104% Loan To Value (LTV) ratio
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Alphabond is available to first-time home buyers only
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The Initial Payment Holiday option is discontinued
New lending criteria:
The LTV ratio for loans greater than R3 million may not exceed 85% (i.e. a minimum deposit of 15% is required).
General:
As the LTV ratio is an important variable in our lending and pricing policies, clients who are able to make deposits are likely to experience a benefit in terms of a better interest rate and a reduced monthly instalment.
There are no changes to either the ordinary building loan or the 104% building loan.
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WHAT IS REAL ESTATE?
“I am the basis of all wealth, the heritage of the wise, the thrifty and prudent.
I am the poor man’s joy and comfort, the rich man’s prize, the right hand of capital, the silent partner of many thousands of successful men.
I am the solace of the widow, the comfort of old age, the cornerstone of security against misfortune and want. I am handed down to children, through generations, as a thing of greatest worth.
I am the choicest fruit of toil. Credit respects me. Yet I am humble. I stand before every man bidding him know me for what I am and possess me.
I grow and increase in value through countless days. Though I seem dormant, my worth increases, never failing never ceasing, time is my aid and population heaps up my gain. Fire and the elements I defy, for they cannot destroy me.
My possessors learn to believe in me; invariably they become envied. While all things wither and decay, I survive. The centuries find me younger, increasing in strength.
The thriftless speak ill of me. I am trustworthy. I am sound
I AM REAL ESTATE… |
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10 POINTS TO A SUCCESSFUL SALE
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1. THE RIGHT PRICE
Every house will sell - it is just a matter of when and
for how much. The key in today's value-sensitive climate
is to listen to the market and adjust both the price and
the marketing programme if necessary. For sellers, the natural
inclination is to try and price the property as high as
possible and to listen to the agent who offers the most
money. The agent should provide a comparative market analysis
because buyers purchase by comparison, so the seller needs
to see how his property shapes up against others that have
been sold in the area.
2. THE RIGHT AGENT
Sellers should not appoint an agent based on the highest
valuation received. Overvaluation is a leading cause of
a poor sales result and is unfortunately rather prevalent
in today's competitive real estate environment. Also consider
the company reputation and ensure that the agent is registered
with the Estate Agency Affairs Board. An agency's strike
rate is considerably important. This demonstrates how many
homes the agency actually sells in relation to how many
they attempt to market.
3. SOLE MANDATE
If the seller builds a relationship with an agent, and then
awards them a sole mandate, the agent is answerable to the
seller and will provide much more information. They are
then also contractually obliged to do their utmost to market
and sell the home in the allotted time frame. In contrast
to the sole mandate, multi-listing on an open mandate property
often results in agents prompting buyers to submit lower
offers, simply to ensure that they are the first to secure
an offer for the seller. Informed buyers may therefore make
use of multiple agents to bid the price down.
4. MARKET KNOWLEDGE
It is the agent's responsibility to provide the seller with
enough market information about the property in order to
determine the correct price. In addition, sellers need to
be aware that buyers these days do their homework and often
research an area before purchasing property there. Tools
such as Property 24's Property SPI are accessible to the
public and can provide a buyer with deeds office information
and rough price averages for the area. This tool however
only provides a very general overview of the area's market.
5. SHOW DAY PREPARATION
Everyone knows that first impressions are lasting impressions,
therefore neat and tidy homes make a positive impact. Curtains
should be open, light fittings cleaned and all clutter packed
away. Colourful pot plants and garden beds also work wonders
at an inexpensive cost. The uncomfortable feeling of an
unclean house causes apprehension, and the buyer will start
to disengage. Sellers should try to look at their home through
the eyes of a potential buyer by stepping back and looking
at the home objectively. Sellers need to package the home
effectively, and homes with pets and smokers need extra
attention to odours.
6. TIME PERIOD
It is critical from a seller's perspective that from the
2nd to 12th week after the property is put on the market
that the bulk of buyers in the market - in that price range,
in that area, and during that time-become aware of the property,
and view it over this period. During this critical time-frame
it's vital that they see the property positioned at the
right price. If not, and the period is extended beyond week
12, then you are aiming at a 'much reduced quantity' of
interested buyers, and then only if you drop the price.
7. SIGNING THE OFFER
Price is not everything. A higher price can mean a lot more
suspensive conditions that may leave the seller with no
sale at all. When a seller receives competing offers, they
should always look at all the terms and conditions and maybe
rather choose a lower price with fewer suspensive conditions.
It is also important to share information about the home
with the agent and make sure that what you want excluded
is filled in on the offer to purchase. Sellers should also
make sure that their tax affairs are in order, otherwise
this might cause delays.
8. ADEQUATE MARKETING
The marketing of a property should take place in four parts:
word of mouth; for sale signs; show days and printed media.
A seller might think that having five agents work on their
property would result in five times the exposure; however,
this is not the case. The effort required to secure a seller's
trust by way of a sole mandate and thereafter deliver a
comprehensive and focused marketing campaign with carefully
constructed advertising is far greater than the effort required
in securing a handful of buyers through poorly focused marketing
initiatives while waiting around in the office for the right
buyer to come along.
9. DON'T INTERFERE
An innocent word in an effort to assist the sale to the
buyer may result in a lost opportunity. The agent is a professional,
is being paid to negotiate the best outcome, so let them
do their job. When viewing a home, prospective buyers must
feel at ease, unobserved, comfortable and free to voice
their feelings. The agent knows the buyer's requirements
and can best emphasize the features of the house. Sellers
should not discuss anything concerning the sale with the
client, and never apologise for appearances as it only accentuates
or distracts.
10. FIX IT UP
Fix things that are broken. A neglected home makes the buyer
feel that he has to spend a lot on maintenance before the
house will be good to live in. Many a potential purchaser
has turned down a property because 'he did not like the
look of it', yet the accommodation, position and price would
have been perfect for him. Sellers should make sure that
all exterior paintwork is in good condition, flower beds
and lawns are trimmed and weed-free, roof and gutters are
in good repair and the front entrance is clean and inviting.
A professional steam cleaning will also rejuvenate a tired-looking
wall-to-wall carpet, and a good polish will bring out the
natural beauty of a wooden strip floor. All lights and fittings
should be functional and globes replaced where necessary.
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Why its (much) smarter to buy than
rent
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Buying a home is one of the smartest investment decisions
anyone can ever make and now theres hard data
to prove it.
Saul Geffen, CEO of mortgage originator MortgageSA says
there is a lot of conflicting advice being given at the
moment because the market has cooled.
But the argument that some commentators are putting
forward that people should rent because house price growth
rates have moderated is spurious. Investing in the property
market is a long-term decision that should not rest on every
wriggle in interest rates or the current pace of price appreciation.
Buying property is one of the basic tenets of long-term
wealth creation and that should be at the top of peoples
minds.
Geffen points out that it is regular surveys of consumer
finances, the US Federal Reserve Board has consistently
found a huge gap between the wealth piled up by homeowners
and that accumulated by renters.
In short, homeowners are significantly wealthier
than renters right across the income spectrum, says
Geffen.
Home ownership builds wealth in two ways: through
the forced savings of paying off a bond, and
through appreciation - the rise in the homes value
over time. And the sooner you get into the game, the quicker
you can get that appreciation working for you.
On the other hand, the longer you rent, the harder
it becomes to buy. You fall further and further behind.
He says, however, that consumers are most likely to win
by owning, rather than renting, if the following are true:
* They plan to stay put at least three years and preferably
more. In most markets, it can take three to six years for
a home to appreciate enough to offset the costs of selling
and moving. In markets that have had a great run its
best to enter a property investment decision with a five-year
investment horizon or longer plan to ride out a real downturn.
* Theyre psychologically prepared. Home ownership
means dealing with whatever comes up - from noisy neighbors
to clogged plumbing. You cant just call the landlord
for help or pack up and move as easily as when you were
renting.
* They have some extra savings. Homebuyers who spend every
cent they have buying a house are often blindsided by repairs,
maintenance and all the other costs of owning a home. Then
they go into debt trying to keep up their current lifestyle.
Smart home buyers make sure they have an amount in savings
at least equal to two bond payments after the deal closes,
and preferably much more.
* They manage their money well. The forced
savings aspect only works if you can keep your hands
out of the cookie jar. Otherwise, its too easy to
drain away your wealth with home equity loans, further advances
and second bonds. If youre the kind of person who
lives on credit cards and doesnt know where the money
goes, youd be wise to clean up your financial act
before you go hunting for a house.
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WHO DETERMINES THE PRICE FOR YOUR HOME?
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Many homeowners do not have a full understanding of how
the asking price of a home should be established. They either
base their decision on what they need to get out of the
sale in order to buy another home or they base it on what
they paid and adjust for inflation. Another mistaken concept
that prevails is that the real estate agent sets the asking
price. The truth is that buyers are the ones who establish
what your home is worth in today's market.
When an agent comes to your home and shows you a competitive
market analysis, it is made up of homes that have recently
sold, homes currently listed, and homes that were listed
but did not sell. What these numbers represent are what
the buyers were willing to pay for a home similar to yours
(the solds), and what the buyers were not willing to pay
(the expired listings). It also gives you a gage as to what
your competition is (the currently listed).
It is important to take these numbers into account when
establishing the price of your home. If you price your home
over what the buyers have recently been willing to pay,
then your home will most likely not sell. One of the biggest
mistakes a homeowner can make is thinking that they will
start with a high price and then come down on the price
later.The reason this is a mistake, is that the first two
weeks that a home is listed is the hottest time on the market.
Buyers who have been looking for a home for a while are
always excited to see a new home listed for sale. However,
most buyers are smart enough to have shopped around and
know what houses are selling for in your area. If your house
enters the market priced higher than all the rest, the buyers
won't even bother looking at it. Later, when you decide
to lower your price to what other homes are selling for
in your area, it will be too late. You will have missed
the initial wave of buyers that a new listing creates. If
buyers do look at your home later, they may wonder if you
lowered the price because something is wrong with your house.
They may be more careful when inspecting the house, which
may bring up more problems to fix.
Time on the market always works against you. When all is
said and done, you may end up having to come down on the
price even farther than your neighbors, just to get it sold.The
smartest way to price your home is to be very competitive
in the beginning. Sometimes you'll get so much interest
in that first wave of buying, you'll end up with two or
more offers at the same time. If several buyers are interested
in the same property, it can drive the price up higher.
Finally, keep in mind that real estate agents should always
advise you to price you home at fair market value. You should
hire an agent based on their qualifications and not on how
high they are willing to list your home. Remember that in
the end it comes down to what the buyer is willing to pay
and not what the agent is willing to list it for.
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